Football Betting

Oakland Raiders 2010 Season Preview

Football Betting Lines

08/26/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the Oakland Raiders still have the gall to refer to their organization as the "Team of the Decades," they had better clarify which decades they mean exactly.

In the first three of the 10 years comprising the just-passed decade, the Silver and Black were a playoff group and even appeared in a Super Bowl. In the next seven, with apologies to the Detroit Lions, the Raiders were the "Joke of the Decade."

The first team in NFL history to lose 11 or more games for seven consecutive seasons, Oakland is a miserable 29-83 (.259) since 2003.

They've had five different coaches over that stretch, a number of doomed quarterback experiments, and at least one low-level assistant nursing a broken jaw.

Once-revered team owner Al Davis is 81, and having increasing trouble distancing himself from the perception that he's lost his grip on what it takes to build a successful NFL team in our post-millennium world.

Yet Davis and Raiders fans both have hope that the dark age for this organization will end in 2010, and that the seven-year itch will be scratched with some consistent winning.

"We thought that the decade of the 2000s would be ours, but boy we slipped," Davis told Sirius NFL Radio earlier this month. "We slumped. And now we come into the year 2010 and I really liken this team a great deal to the team of 1980 in which the great Jim Plunkett pulled us out of the doldrums, took us to the Super Bowl as a wild card and we had so many great players who eventually made their way into the Hall of Fame."

Much of Davis' enthusiasm has to do with the team's latest QB reclamation project, ex-Redskins starter Jason Campbell, who will help the team turn the page from the bleak three-season tenure of former No. 1 overall pick JaMarcus Russell. Though Campbell is only 20-32 as an NFL starter and never lived up to his first-round billing either, the owner is making him the symbol of the franchise's attempt to rise from the ashes.

"I really predict great things for him," Davis told Sirius, adding that he sees Campbell as "a football player like I saw Jim Plunkett. He has everything. He was 13-0 in college at Auburn. He can throw up the field, he can run, he's big, he's smart."

Of course, Campbell won't be able to move this team up the AFC West ladder himself. The Raiders have other potential trouble areas, from a thin offensive line to a nondescript receiving corps to a defensive front seven that must improve its long-standing rank as one of the worst run-stopping teams in the NFL.

Still, Davis isn't alone in thinking the Raiders - who beat the playoff-bound Bengals and won at Pittsburgh and Denver over the second half of last year - are as close to being relevant as they've been in some time.

"I think we have our stamp on this team," said Davis. "It's our personnel, it's our picks, it's our want to be great once again, to join the ranks of the elite and get back that number-one rating in terms of wins and losses since we've come into the league. "

Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Oakland Raiders, with a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:

2009 RECORD: 5-11 (3rd, AFC West)

LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2002, lost to Tampa Bay, 48-21, in Super Bowl

COACH (RECORD): Tom Cable (9-19 in two seasons with Raiders, 9-19 overall)

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Cable

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: John Marshall

OFFENSIVE STAR: Jason Campbell, QB (3618 passing yards, 20 TD, 15 INT with Washington)

DEFENSIVE STAR: Nnamdi Asomugha, CB (34 tackles, 1 INT)

OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 21st rushing, 29th passing, 31st scoring

DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 29th rushing, 7th passing, 23rd scoring

KEY ADDITIONS: QB Jason Campbell (from Redskins), QB Kyle Boller (from Rams), RB Rock Cartwright (from Redskins), RB Michael Bennett (from Chargers), TE John Owens (from Seahawks), T Bruce Campbell (4th Round, Maryland), OL Daniel Loper (from Lions), OL Jared Veldheer (3rd Round, Hillsdale (Mich.)), DT John Henderson (from Jaguars), DE Quentin Groves (from Jaguars), DL Lamarr Houston (2nd Round, Texas), DL Chris Cooper (free agent), LB Kamerion Wimbley (from Browns), LB Rolando McClain (1st Round, Alabama)

KEY DEPARTURES: QB JaMarcus Russell (released), QB J.P. Losman (to Seahawks), RB Justin Fargas (to Broncos), RB Gary Russell (not tendered), WR Javon Walker (to Vikings), T Cornell Green (to Bills), LB Kirk Morrison (to Jaguars), LB Jon Alston (to Buccaneers), DE Greg Ellis (released), DT Gerard Warren (to Patriots)

QB: While Campbell must look like Johnny Unitas to Raiders fans when compared with Russell, fans would be wise to temper their enthusiasm about him just a bit. Though he has high-end physical skills and is twice the leader that Russell was, the former first-rounder was oft-criticized in Washington for his aversion to taking chances down the field. Given Davis' preference for a vertical, big-strike offense, that's an allergy that Campbell is going to want cured. The rest of the depth chart is interesting, as Bruce Gradkowski (1007 passing yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) seemed to be in line for the No. 2 job after playing well late in 2009, but ex-Raven and Ram Kyle Boller (899 passing yards, 3 TD, 6 INT with the Rams) inserted himself into the mix with a strong preseason coupled with Gradkowski's injury struggles. It seems unlikely that the team would keep two veteran QBs as backups, but stranger things have happened around this franchise. Ex-Redskin Colt Brennan seems like a long shot to stick at this point.

RB: While Campbell is going to be under great scrutiny, it will also be worth keeping an eye on a running back group that has underachieved in recent years. Darren McFadden (357 rushing yards, 1 TD, 21 receptions) has yet to live up to his top-five billing amid myriad injuries, and the former Arkansas star has been bypassed on the depth chart by the bigger and more durable Michael Bush (589 rushing yards, 3 TD, 17 receptions). The Raiders will look for contributions from both players, but Bush is likely to be the first man in. Oakland brought in another former Redskin, Rock Cartwright (228 rushing yards, 27 receptions, 1 TD with Washington), mainly to handle kickoff returns. His presence on the roster makes journeyman Michael Bennett's (65 rushing yards with the Chargers) status tenuous. At fullback, Luke Lawton (7 receptions) has been a generally reliable player over the past couple of seasons, but will be unavailable until Week 3 due to a steroid suspension and was hampered by concussions in the preseason. Those situations could open the door for second- year man Marcel Reece (2 receptions) to serve in the role.

WR/TE: The makeup of the Raiders' receiving corps has long been a chicken-or- egg argument. Were Oakland's wideouts unproductive because they lacked talent and/or skill, or did they struggle due to the lack of a capable quarterback to get them the ball? Clearly, the Silver and Black are banking on the latter, because there are few new faces here. All eyes will be on former first-rounder Darrius Heyward-Bey (9 receptions, 1 TD), who had a terrible rookie season and was outplayed by guys like Louis Murphy (34 receptions, 4 TD) and Chaz Schilens (29 receptions, 2 TD). Murphy and Schilens are still in the mix, though Schilens had knee surgery during the preseason and might not be ready for Week 1. That will afford an opportunity to someone like Todd Watkins (8 receptions), Johnnie Lee Higgins (19 receptions), or speedy rookie fourth- rounder Jacoby Ford (Clemson). The team's most reliable target, tight end Zach Miller (66 receptions, 3 TD), will again be in the lineup, and Brandon Myers (4 receptions) and Tony Stewart (10 receptions) again appear set to back him.

OL: Whatever strides the Raiders might make at quarterback and/or wide receiver will be rendered moot if this group can't protect Campbell and make holes for the running backs. The bad news is that there's not an elite-level lineman on this group, the good is that 80 percent of the line is expected to remain intact. On the left side, tackle Mario Henderson is adequate and guard Robert Gallery - who missed 10 games last year with a back problem - has become a reliable piece when healthy. Henderson and right guard Cooper Carlisle were the only Oakland o-lineman to start every game a year ago. The trouble spots are at center, where neither Samson Satele nor Chris Morris is any great shakes. Though Satele will probably be the guy on opening day, there's a chance the team could try third-round project Jared Veldheer there. Then there's right tackle, where prodigal son Langston Walker is not really a long-term answer. The team would probably like to see Bruce Campbell (Maryland), a fourth-round pick who some thought would go much earlier, emerge as a viable candidate at the position.

DL: Though his presence didn't translate to a win increase, Richard Seymour (47 tackles, 4 sacks) gave the Oakland defense an immediate blast of credibility when the Patriots shockingly dealt him to the Bay Area on the eve of the 2009 season. The group around Seymour, who plays inside in Oakland's base 4-3 look, has been enhanced as well. Second-round draft pick Lamarr Houston (Texas) has the versatility to play inside or outside, and ex-Jaguars tackle John Henderson (36 tackles, 3 sacks with Jacksonville) has Pro Bowl citations on his resume'. Big-money tackle Tommy Kelly (54 tackles, 1 sack) is still hanging around as well, and ends Matt Shaughnessy (29 tackles, 4 sacks) and Jay Richardson (23 tackles, 3 sacks) are decent edge rushers who each appeared in all 16 games a year ago.

LB: Raiders fans should be highly encouraged at how the Raiders upgraded the linebacking corps in the offseason. From a pass-rushing standpoint, Oakland dealt for Kamerion Wimbley (68 tackles, 6.5 sacks with Cleveland), who along with Trevor Scott (38 tackles, 7 sacks) should be able to make up for the production that departed when the team failed to re-sign Greg Ellis. On the inside, first-round pick Rolando McClain (Alabama) is a major upgrade over Kirk Morrison, who is now with the Jaguars. McClain's size alone gives Oakland more of a dimension in the run-stopping game. The Raiders have decent depth at LB as well, as Thomas Howard (79 tackles, 2 sacks) and Ricky Brown (30 tackles) both have starting experience and Quentin Groves (28 tackles, 1 INT with the Jaguars) is an occasionally active pass-rusher.

DB: Give a lot of credit to the Raiders secondary, which has done a nice job over the past few seasons with very little in the way of consistent help from the front seven. With a better group playing in front of them, the secondary might finally be recognized as one of the best in the league. At corner, Nnamdi Asomugha is acknowledged as elite, and Chris Johnson (67 tackles, 3 INT) has converted himself from a marginal NFL player to an above-average NFL corner. Stanford Routt (28 tackles, 1 sack) is still in the mix at CB as well, and seventh-round pick Stevie Brown (Michigan) has opened some eyes with a good camp. At strong safety, Tyvon Branch (119 tackles, 1 sack) was a 16-game starter and isn't going anywhere. The unending competition between Michael Huff (55 tackles, 3 INT) and Hiram Eugene (33 tackles, 1 INT) at free safety might not subside anytime soon. Both players have their moments, but neither has been consistent. Many pundits laughed when the Raiders reached for safety Mike Mitchell (13 tackles, 1.5 sacks) in the second round last year, but Mitchell was on the field for all 16 games in 2010 and actually looks to be developing into a decent player.

SPECIAL TEAMS: As usual, the Raiders have very little to worry about in the kicking game. Punter Shane Lechler made his third straight Pro Bowl (and fifth overall) after posting the second-best single-season punting average (51.1 avg.) in NFL history, while kicker Sebastian Janikowski (26-29 FG) was a Pro Bowl snub. Cartwright (22.3 kickoff return avg. with Washington), who has 222 kickoff returns since breaking into the league in 2002, was brought in to handle those duties in Oakland. Higgins (5.2 punt return avg.) is just two years removed from a three-touchdown year as punt returner, and will get the first crack there this year. Rookie Jacoby Ford has a chance to be in the mix as well. Jon Condo, who played in the Pro Bowl last year, begins his third year as the Raiders' long-snapper.

PROGNOSIS: Though many Raiders fans are as optimistic as the team's owner about the prospects for a renaissance this year, the jettisoning of JaMarcus Russell was hardly a cure-all. Campbell is a better quarterback but is unproven in his own right, and playing with a new supporting cast, to include a highly suspect offensive line, is not necessarily going to allow him to deliver on his promise. Things figure to be better defensively, and if that group can keep the Raiders in some games, and Campbell and the offense develop some early chemistry and have good luck with injuries, there's a chance this team can enter December with something to play for. That might not sound like a return to glory, but after the past seven years, it has to be worth something.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

MySportsbook.com: NFL draft - The NFC South


In part two of MySportsbook.com’s draft preview, we’ll take a look at a division that was extremely disappointing last season: the NFC South.  Many “experts” predicted the Panthers to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, of course they could not even make the playoffs in an extremely weak NFC.  The Saints definitely made up for the disappointing seasons of their NFC South brethren by exploding out of no where en route to the NFC Championship game.  For the avid NFL gambler, it is imperative to pay attention to the NFL draft.  Although free agency gets a ton of publicity, the successful franchises build their teams around the draft.

1. New Orleans Saints
Who would have thought this time last year that the Saints would be the favorites to win the NFC South for the 2007 campaign?  New Orleans is loaded with firepower on the offensive side of the ball but with the exodus of Joe Horn they will most likely look to draft a WR on Day 1.  Despite having the NFL’s 3rd ranked pass defense last season, the Saints will most likely upgrade their CB’s with one of their first two picks. Other possibilities for the Saints will be TE and DT.  Because of where they will be selecting (27th), the Saints could go the “best available player” route which could net a LB.

Key additions: Eric Johnson TE, Troy Evans LB, David Patten WR
Key loses: Joe Horn WR,
Team needs: CB, WR, TE, LB, DT
Possible draftees: Aaron Ross CB Texas, Darrelle Revis CB Pitt, Ted Ginn Jr. WR OSU, Paul Posluszny LB PSU, Chris Houston CB Arkansas, Greg Olsen TE Miami

2. Carolina Panthers
Carolina was one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL last season.  With the signing of David Carr, expect the very first quarterback controversy to come out of Carolina if Jake Delhomme doesn’t rebound quickly from an average 2007 season. With veteran safety Mike Minter getting up there in age, they will look to draft a safety on Day 1 but probably not in the first round.  LB is another need with the loss of Chris Draft to go along with Dan Morgan’s concussion problems.  If TE Greg Olsen is still on the board, he might be too good to pass up despite their needs on the defensive side of the ball.

Key additions: David Carr QB
Key loses: Chris Draft LB
Team needs: LB, TE, S, OT
Possible draftees: Greg Olsen TE Miami, Patrick Willis LB Ole Miss, Paul Posluszny LB PSU, Levi Brown OT PSU

3. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons were another NFC South team to have a disappointing 2007 season.  The Falcons have been plenty busy during the off season with plenty of players coming and going including a new head coach.  The Falcons were able to improve their draft position with the trade of coveted backup QB Matt Schaub.  High on the list of Day 1 needs will be a defensive end to replace Patrick Kerney and a hard hitting safety since Lawyer Milloy is nearing the end of his career.  With an additional 2nd round pick, the Falcons could attempt to trade up to acquire local product WR Calvin Johnson. 

Key additions: Joey Harrington QB, Toniu Fonoti OG, Joe Horn WR
Key loses: Justin Griffen RB, Patrick Kerney DE, Matt Lehr OG, Ashley Lelie WR, Matt Schaub QB
Team needs: DE, S, OT, WR, DT
Possible draftees: LaRon Landry S LSU, Amobi Okoye DT Louisville, Levi Brown OT PSU, Jamaal Anderson DE Arkansas, Alan Branch DT Michigan

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Age really caught up to the Bucs last season.  The Bucs still have plenty of household names on defense in Ronde Barber, Simeon Rice and Derrick Brooks but the one thing those three have in common is unfortunately age.  It is imperative for the Bucs to get much younger, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Despite having bigger needs on the defensive side of the ball, WR Calvin Johnson is the most likely pick if he is still available when the Bucs pick at the four spot.  This would suit Bucs’ faithful just fine as Johnson is widely considered the top talent in the draft and it is a position of need for the Bucs.

Key additions: Jeff Garcia QB, Kevin Carter DE, Torrie Cox CB, Cato June LB
Key loses: Dewayne White DE, Sean Mahan OG
Team needs: WR, LB, DE, CB (Youth on defense!)
Possible draftees: Calvin Johnson WR Georgia Tech, Gains Adams DE Clemson, Jamaal Anderson DE Arkansas

It is never too early to start betting on the NFL. Log on to MySportsbook.com to checkout all of the NFL futures for the upcoming season.  On the clock: the NFC North

Odds to win the NFC South:
New Orleans Saints 8-5
Carolina Panthers 2-1
Atlanta Falcons 12-5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-2    

Odds to win the NFC:
New Orleans Saints 13-2
Carolina Panthers 7-1
Atlanta Falcons 20-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-1

Odds to win the Super Bowl:
New Orleans Saints 18-1
Carolina Panthers 20-1
Atlanta Falcons 50-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 75-1

To visit this sportsbook get to MySportsbook.com for all your online sportsbook needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.