Football Betting

Magic 8 Ball says?

NCAA Football Betting Lines

08/27/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If you were a kid going through your formative years in the 70s and early 80s and needed answers to life's biggest mysteries, you unfortunately didn't have the Internet to help you make informed decisions. Luckily, Tyco (a toy company that is now Mattel) had the ultimate source of information in the Magic 8 Ball.

Heading into the 2010 season, I thought it would be fitting to do a little prognosticating with the help of my favorite icosahedron. Here are some of the burning questions for the upcoming college football season and answers obtained the "old-fashioned way."

WILL ALABAMA REPEAT AS NATIONAL CHAMPION? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Outlook Good."

The Crimson Tide have most of their offense back in the fold, including last year's Heisman winner in Mark Ingram. That type of security blanket will prevent Greg McElroy from having to be perfect game-in and game-out. Throw in a couple of burners at wideout and this could be a scary offensive team. The defense must replace nine starters, but the cupboard isn't bare on that side of the football. Alabama's toughest opponents come to Tuscaloosa (Penn State, Florida, Auburn) with the exception of LSU, By November though, Alabama should be riding a huge wave of momentum and it won't matter where the team plays.

WILL MARK INGRAM CAPTURE A SECOND STRAIGHT HEISMAN? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Don't count on it."

Unless Ingram runs away with the award (pun intended), and that will be tough considering that talented sophomore Trent Richardson will get carries as well, the Heisman voters aren't likely to give him a second trophy. Archie Griffin's feat in 1974 and 1975 is held up as nearly unobtainable, not so much because there haven't been worthy candidates over the years, but more because of the fact that the voters may be predisposed toward not allowing it to happen again.

IS BRIAN KELLY THE ANSWER IN SOUTH BEND? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Signs point to Yes."

Lou Holtz is regarded as the last great coach at Notre Dame. In the 13 years since his departure however, the Irish have lost a ton of games and gone through coaches at an accelerated rate. Kelly is a proven commodity that has won everywhere he has gone. He went 118-35-2 at Grand Valley State (Division II), playing in three national title games and winning two championships. He then turned a struggling Central Michigan team into MAC champions in just his third year. Moving to Cincinnati, Kelly led the Bearcats (who were already good) to new heights, winning 34 games in three seasons and back-to-back Big East titles. With 19 years in the business, 17 of which resulted in winning seasons, Kelly is more than qualified to make the Irish relevant again.

CAN JOHN BRANTLEY SUCCEED IN GAINESVILLE AND SOMEHOW COME OUT FROM UNDER THE TIM TEBOW SHADOW? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Reply hazy, try again."

Tebow will go down as one of, if not the best player in college football history. Brantley will constantly be compared to Tebow, who won the Heisman and two national titles with the Gators in his four years. Brantley is a much different quarterback however, and it will be up to Urban Meyer to change from a highly successful spread offense under Tebow's leadership to a more pro- style one that will highlight Brantley's talents. Knowing what to do and actually accomplishing it are two different things. Check back in mid-October, after Florida has run the gauntlet of Alabama and LSU in consecutive weeks.

CAN LANE KIFFIN WEATHER THE STORM AND TURN THINGS AROUND AT USC? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Cannot Predict Now."

This answer may be a bit of a cop-out, but it seems like bad news for USC occurs on a daily basis these days and continues to change the USC football landscape. There is no doubt that some of the nation's premier talent will still find its way onto the Trojans' roster, but with the loss of numerous scholarships during the next couple of seasons, and the effect of the team's postseason ban, Kiffin will be handcuffed in terms of the product he is able to put on the field. He was successful as an assistant at USC, but has not lived up to expectations as the top man of either the Oakland Raiders (a lot of that had to do with Al Davis) or at Tennessee, where he bailed after one hot-and- cold year. The task at hand is daunting and it remains to be seen if Kiffin survives long enough to reap any rewards.

WILL RICH RODRIGUEZ SAVE HIS JOB IN ANN ARBOR? Magic 8 Ball says -- "My sources say no."

Not sure exactly who the Magic 8 Ball's sources are, but it seems like a no- brainer that if the Wolverines struggle once again, the Rodriguez era is over. The schedule is not favorable, Rodriguez doesn't have a stud under center to implement his offense and the defense, which was bad last year, could be worse in 2010. All of that adds up to a third straight sub par season, and that simply isn't good enough to stay employed in Ann Arbor these days.

WITH THE BOWDEN ERA OVER, WILL THE SEMINOLES FACTOR IN THE BCS PICTURE THIS SEASON? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Most Likely."

Florida State has turned the page following the retirement (wink, wink) of legendary coach Bobby Bowden. Enter Jimbo Fisher. The longtime college assistant is more than prepared to take the reins in Tallahassee and has a loaded team on both sides of the football. He won't pull a Larry Coker and win the national title in his first season at the helm, but with a Heisman candidate QB (Christian Ponder) and a hopefully improved defense under Mark Stoops, the Seminoles are the favorite in the ACC's Atlantic Division. If they win it, a victory in the ACC title game is the only thing standing between FSU and a return to BCS Nirvana.

DOES BOISE STATE HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO BURST THE BCS BUBBLE? Magic 8 Ball says -- "Without a doubt."

The Broncos have been the non-BCS darlings for the last couple of years (26-1) and finally have a legitimate chance to play for a national title. With a potent offense and good defense, Boise State has its sights set on a second straight perfect season. There are only two speed bumps on the schedule with the season-opener against Virginia Tech in D.C. and a home date with Oregon State later in September. The WAC slate is a joke and beginning the year ranked third could keep Boise State hovering around the top of the rankings all year long. The Broncos aren't likely to lose late in the season and could just watch others fall by the wayside to clear a path for BSU to the BCS title game. Having what it takes on paper, however, doesn't always translate into actually accomplishing the task.


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SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.

Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"

A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."

Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.

In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.

"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."

Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.

But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"

Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.

This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.

Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.

In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.

No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.

And that's all any bettor can ask for.

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